You can give a mouse a cookie…but that doesn’t make him a baker

March 27th, 2008 admin

From today’s boingboing.net:

Pilot shoots hole in cockpit - trust is not transitive
Posted by Cory Doctorow, March 27, 2008 5:34 AM

Remember when they gave pilots guns to increase airplane security? On Saturday, a US Airways pilot accidentally fired his gun in the cockpit while trying to stow it, blowing a hole in the plane. Security expert Peter Biddle uses this as an object lesson to explain why "trust isn't transitive."

Let’s look at this quote from the article in question, attributed to Mike Boyd: “if somebody who has the ability to fly a 747 across the Pacific wants a gun, you give it to them.” This is a horribly flawed assumption, because it assumes that trust is transitive, when clearly it isn’t.

The reason trust isn’t transitive is because trust is most often based on data regarding the past which allows us to make assumptions about specific competence, quality of performance, and behaviors in the future.

We can assume that a trained pilot, when facing piloty thingies, will act like a trained pilot. WE CANNOT ASSUME THAT A TRAINED PILOT WILL ACT LIKE A TRAINED LION-TAMER WHEN FACING A WILD LION.

Skills from one domain cannot simply be moved from that domain to another. Saliently, the pilot in question must have thousands of hours of flight time, has done the pre-flight check hundreds or even thousands of times, has been steeped in pilot-ness and thus pilot-safety, probably since he was a late teen. He’s very likely an extraordinarily safe pilot. We can assume that every experienced 747 pilot has a keen awareness of the potential lethality of full loaded 747. In the past we can assume that they at least had a deep appreciation of the potential for harm to their own passengers, and post 9/11 we can assume that they appreciate the harm their plane can be to thousands of additional people.

The argument that Biddle makes goes directly to the heart of the larger issue of guns and self-defense. Pro-gun advocates have long claimed that people with training in how to shoot and handle a gun are qualified enough to own a gun for self-defense.

I have always had problems with that line of reasoning, but Biddle nails it in his explanation: We cannot assume that a trained pilot will act like a trained lion-tamer when facing a wild lion. I would add: You cannot assume that a mechanic or accountant or store clerk will act like a trained police officer when facing a criminal.

Showing someone how to shoot a gun is not the equivalent of attending a police academy and coming face to face with criminals on a daily basis. Police officers are trained over many months in how to act in stressful, life or death situations and, once on the job, they face those kinds of situations frequently.

As a writer, I simply do not encounter life or death situations where I have to decide whether to pull a trigger or not. How can I predict how I would act if I had a gun in my back pocket and I felt threatened? Yeah, I know how to aim and shoot the weapon, but my hand will be shaking, my mind racing, my adrenaline pumping. Will I make the right decision? Will I hurt or kill an innocent bystander? Is it a burglar rummaging around downstairs or my oldest son making a surprise visit home from college?

Giving a person a gun and showing him how to use it is not the same thing as training him about when, where and why to use it. Skills from one domain cannot simply be moved from that domain to another.

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Academies are working

March 27th, 2008 admin

Despite much opposition – indeed downright hostility from some quarters – it would appear that the government’s flag ship academy...

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Hants CC cannot be bothered to spend money on Smannell Roads!

March 27th, 2008 admin

Hampshire County Council Road Spending Campaign

Remember last month we told you that we had been busy chasing Tory led Hampshire County Council on the conditions of road signs and the state of our roads in Smannell. We told you that part of that campaign involved finding out via the Freedom of Information Act just how much or little the Tories had spent on Smannell Roads well according to figures supplied to Smannell Lib Dems shows that the Tories in 2006/2007 spent £0, yes zero pounds, on road repairs and in 2007/2008 they spent just £6200. So that’s just £6200 in 2 years spent on road repairs in 2 years! I wonder how much we paid in Council Tax over those 2 years to Hampshire County Council in the last 2 years!

Watch this space we have requested this information and will prepare a report for County Councillor Robin Hughes and the Parish Council who have both asked Hants CC Highways engineers to attend the next meeting of the Parish Council to explain this shocking lack of expenditure on our roads.

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Dim Bulb Bachmann Does it Again

March 26th, 2008 admin

The United States is beginning its sixth year of war in Iraq with no end in sight. Our military war dead now top 4,000, with hundreds of thousands of Iraqis either dead or displaced. America is on the brink of an economic recession if not already in one. Our standing in the world is at an all-time low. The president and vice president dismiss the will of the people and thumb their noses at the democratic process.

And Minnesota representative Michele Bachmann wants to talk about light bulbs.

The intellectually vapid Bachmann has found yet another way to embarrasses her home state in front of the world. In a move that can only be seen as ideological grand standing, Bachman has introduced something called the “Light Bulb Freedom of Choice Act” in the house. Yes, you read that right.

According to the Star-Tribune, Bachmann “…is challenging the nation's embrace of energy-efficient compact fluorescent lights, saying the government has no business telling consumers what kind of light bulbs they can buy.”

Global warming as a result of human activity is a hoax, according to Bachmann, thus her courageous pro-choice light bulb stance.

Poor Michele is forever in the dark, substituting rote conservative dogma for actual thinking. I guess that makes her the ideal candidate for a position in the Bush administration in its remaining months. A long black robe, perhaps?

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Lib Dems urges residents to support Anti Social Behaviour measures

March 23rd, 2008 admin

Lib Dem Alamein Ward Councillor Len Gates has urged residents of Smannell to support the extension of an order that is aimed at tackling alcohol-related anti-social behaviour in the Alamein ward including Enham, Smannell, Little London and the woods surrounding the ward including Ridges Copse.

In October 2007 the council executive agreed to extend the scheme across the borough to tackle the problems we have seen recently in Little London playing fields and Ridges Copse.


A Designated Public Place Order (DPPO) already covers Andover Town Centre and the police have found it useful in tackling alcohol related crime and anti-social behaviour. After an initial review, thirteen other wards in Test Valley were identified as areas that could benefit if a DPPO was implemented. The initiative was first proposed by Lib Dem councillors in June 2007 when they submitted a motion to council calling for action to combat anti-social behaviour. The proposal to introduce the ban across thirteen wards of the borough was ratified by full council in October 2007 but needed Home Office approval before its introduction.


The DPPO gives not only the Police but also other accredited persons, such as Neighbourhood Wardens, the power to confiscate alcohol from anyone found to be behaving in an anti-social way whilst drinking. The extended order would not prevent consumption of alcohol but would make it an offence to continue to do so after being told to stop by a police officer, which could result in a court appearance and a £500 fine.


Councillor Gates speaking today said "At last we are seeing some action on a problem which is of major concern to all residents. The relaxation of licensing laws has lead to an increase in drinking and drink-fuelled vandalism in public places which residents find offensive and unacceptable. We must give the police and other agencies the powers to combat this. I hope appropriate action will also be taken against those shops irresponsibly selling alcohol.#


Len went on to say “I am sure the public will give their overwhelming support to the new proposals and the police will use these new powers sparingly but effectively to reclaim our streets and parks and other open spaces from the minority who are spoiling them. Smannell Lib Dems have established very good relations with the local Police and wardens. All agencies working together with Neighbourhood Watch, Parish Councils and local residents is at the heart of beating crime"


In recent weeks eagle eyed Lib Dems have been monitoring the anti social behaviour in Ridges Copse and a number of reports have been fed back to the Police including car registration number that proved an invaluable tool in helping Police stamp out anti-social behaviour.


Len has urged residents to support this campaign and be contact by email on len.gates@andover.co.uk or by phone 01264 356759. Residents can contact Test Valley direct for more information visit www.testvalley.gov.uk/community or contact David Smith, Neighbourhood Warden Manager at Test Valley Borough Council on 01264 368640 or e-mail dsmith@testvalley.gov.uk

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